Resilient Growth Consultants

Why Smart Manufacturers are Tracking Exxon and AB-InBev’s Revenue Moves

Dear Friends,

This newsletter is crafted especially for manufacturing leaders. In this edition, I revisit a recent discussion with one of the industry’s most respected brands, where we explored a key question.

Are manufacturers managing profits — or just the components of profits?

With Eurozone growth forecasted at a modest 1.2% (IMF, 2024) and advanced economies at 1.9%, manufacturers need fresh profit streams to fuel essential decarbonization initiatives. Yet, many of their moves risk amplifying what we call the “profit trap”: adding product lines leads to inventory swelling rather than turnover, and new production lines increase overcapacity, which pushes prices—and margins—down.

The Solution? Revenue management uncovers hidden profit opportunities without inflating asset loads, allowing companies to sustain growth while financing decarbonization.

How to Get It Right: Revenue Management Lessons from Industry Leaders

They treat revenue management as winning a game — aligning it seamlessly with cost control and production capacity. This approach enables leaders like Exxon and AB InBev to adapt in real time, driving profitability by synchronizing pricing, product mix, trade terms, and production with market shifts.

  1. Precision Pricing for Margin Control Exxon dynamically tailors prices by integrating market signals and cost drivers, ensuring that margins are maximized without overstretching capacity. This adaptable pricing strategy builds resilience as costs and demand fluctuate.
  2. Product Mix and Promotion Effectiveness To absorb cost fluctuations in key materials, such as rising prices of hops and glass cullets used in bottles, AB InBev refines its product mix by launching lower-cost alternatives. For instance, they strategically promote an aluminum-can version of select premium brands in response to higher glass costs. This approach targets cost-sensitive, seasonal segments without cannibalizing the core premium bottled market, ensuring profitability despite material cost increases.
  3. Optimized Trade Terms Adjusting trade terms allows both companies to refine their product mix based on current cost conditions, ensuring they focus on the highest-margin products.
  4. Demand Forecasting for Production Efficiency AB-InBev uses advanced forecasting to align production with profitable demand, sidestepping overcapacity pitfalls and protecting prices through targeted data-driven decisions.
  5. Yield Capacity Optimization Allocating demand to the most efficient plants allows these leaders to manage capacity in a way that aligns with profitability rather than just volume.
  6. Streamlined Offerings for Inventory Reduction Rather than expanding their product lines broadly, these companies concentrate on core, high-turnover products. This minimizes inventory costs, improves turnover, and maximizes cash flow, critical in a slow-growth environment.

Example of weekly analysis to adjust prices dynamically (1 product, 1 week)

What May Go Wrong

Ignoring these revenue management principles can lead to:

  • Differentiating Away from Profitability: Increasing variety with differentiated shapes and styles can boost sales but often raises inventory costs and reduces production efficiency.
  • Product Overload: A broader SKU selection can slow turnover and increase inventory expenses.
  • Capacity Overreach: Expanding production indiscriminately risks saturating markets and driving prices down.
  • Reactive Pricing: sudden cost changes can erode margins significantly.

Realigning for Resilient Profitability

Adopting a proactive, revenue-driven management approach will be critical for manufacturing leaders to remain profitable in 2025. Streamlining product offerings, employing predictive analytics, and practicing dynamic pricing can position manufacturers for growth, even in volatile markets. Let’s make this the year of strategic revenue expansion.

Warm regards,

Olivier

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